WOW-Thoughts on June 29,2016 NHL Deals

In case you missed it, three huge things happened yesterday. Adam Larsson went to the Edmonton Oilers in exchange for Taylor Hall. Next,  P.K. Subban went to the Nashville Predators for Shea Weber. Finally, Steven Stamkos, as i predicted  signed on for eight more years with the Tampa Bay Lighting. Wow, if only these moves happened, then this would be one of the biggest offseasons in NHL history and we are not even at July 1 yet. Free agency has not even opened up yet. The rest of this offseason promises to be fun and entertaining.

First, Taylor Hall was undersold in how good he is. Since he was drafted he has been the Oilers’ most reliable forward routinely putting up strong seasons in spite of all the losing. Hall does have defensive issues but is one of the best goal scoring playmaking forwards in the game. In coach John Hynes’ defensive system Hall’s defensive numbers will improve. Playing in front of Cory Schneider will certainly help as well. Adam Larsson is a solid defenseman but not worth Taylor Hall.

Second, the blockbuster trade of the day is the Subban for Weber swap. Both teams are getting elite defenseman. However, Weber is a few years older and has a long term contract that will see the Habs on the hook for a cap hit of nearly eight million dollars when he is forty years old. Subban will only cost the Predators nine million dollars against the cap for six more years. P.K will be 33 when his contract expires. Nashville won this deal handily. While both defenseman are elite, Subban will retain his value for longer than Weber will.

Finally, Steven Stamkos re signed with Tampa. In my original article, I suggested that if winning was his aim then Tampa was best for him. Tampa is a Stanley Cup winner waiting to happen for this upcoming season. They have great depth, great young talent, and superb goalies. All of these moves showed us one thing. We have no idea what is coming up this offseason, except that it will be outstanding to watch and see where other stars like Kyle Okposo end up.

 

http://www.generalfanager.com/players/1222

http://www.generalfanager.com/players/1146

 

Three Random Thoughts Before Free Agency

With three full days remaining until free agency, here are a few thoughts about some recent moves and the draft. Free agency itself will be an exciting time trying to figure out where star players like Steven Stamkos and Kyle Okposo will sign.

  1. Andrew Shaw should not carry a cap hit higher than Brendan Gallagher. While Shaw plays a great two way game, he does not produce offensively like Gallagher does. Shaw has never broken 40 points in any of his NHL seasons. Gallagher has scored 40 or more points the past three years. Last year, Brendan had 40 points in 53 games played. I understand that Shaw is worth a fair amount of money. He does an excellent job screening goalies,winning puck battles and killing penalties. Gallagher plays tougher minutes not paired with a linemate like Johnathan Toews than Shaw does and is worth more points per game than Shaw is. The Habs have the cap room however, this is a contract that will directly impact their future.How much remains to be seen. If this was a one or two year deal,it would make more sense to me.Six is too many years for Shaw.
  2. Well done Arizona Coyotes.The team was able to sign backup extraordinaire Louis Domingue to a two year pact.For just over one million dollars for two years the Coyotes have a strong goalie that can start for periods of time. Domingue won 15 games last year. Although he did not finish with a winning record (15-18-4), he saved over 91 percent of shots faced and kept the Coyotes in a lot of games they should not have been in at all. Domingue set himself up to be the starter next season if Mike Smith is selected in the Las Vegas Expansion Draft.
  3. My Stamkos prediction? Well, although Detroit traded the contract of Pavel Datsyuk for more cap room, and other teams want to talk to him, Stamkos will end up back with the Lightning. Tampa Bay does not have to offer him as much as the other teams courting him. Florida has no personal income tax. Beyond that, the Lightning are at the beginning of a potential dynasty. This team was two games away from another Stanley Cup in 2015. If the team can find a way to keep Victor Hedman it has the potential to make the Stanley Cup Finals every season over the next four to five years. Is that true of Buffalo? No, that squad is good but not there quite yet. Is that true of Detroit? Maybe, but what happens if Mrazek does not have another stellar year and Zetterberg is injured again? Is that true of Toronto? No, that squad will be at that level if everything goes right in four to five years. The Lighting made it to the Eastern Conference Final without a lot of help from Stamkos. He was injured. This squad has the depth to win now. None of his rumored suitors have what they do.

 

Links:http://www.hockeydb.com/ihdb/stats/pdisplay.php?pid=116081

http://www.generalfanager.com/players/144

http://www.generalfanager.com/players/531

http://www.generalfanager.com/teams/arizona-coyotes

 

 

 

Potential to Trade-Vancouver

Before reading, keep in mind this is merely pure speculation based on the Canucks prospect pool. This is one of a lot of scenarios i bet Jim Benning is thinking of right now.

Canucks fans, do you like having more draft picks? Think Jim Benning way over paid for  a very physical yet very slow skating Eric Gudbranson? Want a forward core that can play defense and score(more than just the Sedins)? Upset that the Oilers got Frozen Four Most Oustanding player Drake Caggiula?  Ok, well then hear me out.

I understand Pierre Luc-Dubois is an outstanding player, but what if I told you there was another similar player who may not score 30 goals a season with regularity , but could help set up a future 30 goal a season guy like Brock Boeser. This player had over one hundred points this season playing for the most recognized Junior A team in the BCHL ,the Penticton Vees,this year and was only one of three players from Junior A to make the U18 World Championship squad for team Canada.

This player’s name is  Tyson Jost. Now look, I understand that Dubois is who the Canucks are most likely targeting, but if you could trade back and pick up a second or third rounder from say the Canadiens or another team selecting between 9-15 would you do it and risk Dubois not being there? Or would you ask for more back from that team ?

If so what would it take? I might suggest a second this year to move up and say a third round pick next year. Of course I wouldn’t have had to have suggested that if not for a certain general manager getting fleeced by Florida.

Ok, say this scenario happens and the Habs part with a second and third to move up and draft Dubois or Logan Brown. What does this mean for the Canucks? It means they would be in a position to add two extra prospects with more picks, and pick someone who could be skating in Utica in two years. Jost is  that refined in his game. What ever line he was on at the U18 World Championships he made better. Defensively, Jost was one of Canada’s best forwards. Plus, you know that if you want Dubois to develop well he will most likely spend at least one if not two more years in the QMJHL,

Jost will spend this year playing against older more physical competition in the NCAA for the defending national champions in an NHL-like facility. North Dakota has all of the tools needed for Jost to develop fast. At a maximum you would probably wait only two years for Jost to play in Vancouver. Plus, on some level wouldn’t you like to see Boeser and Jost developing chemistry this year at North Dakota knowing that they will be playing for you in two seasons?

Look, Dubois is a highly skilled elite talent, if the Canucks are not offered a decent deal they should pick him. If some team is willing to over pay to move up, should the Canucks listen, move down and draft Jost or another similar player? Absolutely.

http://www.eliteprospects.com/player.php?player=148111